Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,771.55 to 1,778.82, up 0.41%
Market Energy Bull Critical 70.6% to Bull Critical 67.1%, down 3.5 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.73%▲ 0.01%▼ 0.30%▲ 0.41%
Energy▲ 24.7▲ 4.2▼ 19.0▼ 3.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.73%▲ 0.01%▼ 0.30%▲ 0.41%▲ 24.7▲ 4.2▼ 19.0▼ 3.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.41% — higher than 46% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.5 pts — higher than 19% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XAUUSD Daily

Sample: 4,005 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 230 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 92 times — 40%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 138 times — 60%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 67.12%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 7.38%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 7.12%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · D1 · 2021-04-20 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
70.6%
Bull Critical
67.1%
Bull Critical
83.0%
Bull Extreme
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the Daily candle just closed, XAUUSD reflects the near-extreme Bull energy zone.

Market trend update: A -3.5% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 67.1% (previous: 70.6%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from +60.7 to +89.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 20-04-2021 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,778.82, up 0.41% from the previous candle (1,771.55). Market Energy was 67.1%, down 3.5 points from 70.6%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,778.82, up 0.41% from the previous Daily candle (1,771.55). This rise is larger than 46% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD, across 715 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 70.6% to 67.1%. This drop is larger than 19% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XAUUSD at 70.6%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 67.1%, XAUUSD is 7.38 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 7.12 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 8.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -46.1%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Critical, 67.1%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -51.2%. XAUUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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