Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,780.87 to 1,770.48, down 0.58%
Market Energy Bull Critical 74.5% to Bull Bias 54.0%, down 20.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.01%▲ 0.06%▲ 0.46%▼ 0.58%
Energy▲ 3.3▲ 5.4▼ 0.7▼ 20.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.01%▲ 0.06%▲ 0.46%▼ 0.58%▲ 3.3▲ 5.4▼ 0.7▼ 20.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.58% — higher than 67% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 20.4 pts — higher than 68% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias XAUUSD Daily

Sample: 4,005 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 351 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 173 times — 49.3%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 178 times — 50.7%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 54.03%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 5.97%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 33.15%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · D1 · 2020-07-01 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
74.5%
Bull Critical
54.0%
Bull Bias
49.6%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the Daily candle closes, Market XAUUSD in the Bull Bias energy level.

Market trend update: Market Energy reading dropped -20.4%, moving from 74.5% to 54% after the Daily candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from +54 to +75.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 01-07-2020 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,770.48, down 0.58% from the previous candle (1,780.87). Market Energy was 54%, down 20.4 points from 74.5%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,770.48, down 0.58% from the previous Daily candle (1,780.87). This drop is larger than 67% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD, across 467 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 20.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 74.5% to 54%. This drop is larger than 68% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XAUUSD at 74.5%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 54%, XAUUSD is 5.97 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 33.15 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 60.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 69.4%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Bias, 54%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -43.5%. XAUUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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