Analysis

·

Candle open
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,395.79 to 1,395.28, down 0.04%
Market Energy Neutral 15.1% to Bear Bias -25.4%, down 40.5 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.24%▼ 1.12%▼ 0.26%▼ 0.04%
Energy▼ 6.7▼ 28.1▲ 20.2▼ 40.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.24%▼ 1.12%▼ 0.26%▼ 0.04%▼ 6.7▼ 28.1▲ 20.2▼ 40.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.04% — higher than 8% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 40.5 pts — higher than 86% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias XAUUSD Daily

Sample: 4,005 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 322 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 189 times — 58.7%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 133 times — 41.3%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: -25.45%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 4.57%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 34.55%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · D1 · 2019-07-08 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
15.1%
Neutral
-25.4%
Bear Bias
-21.6%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the Daily candle closes, XAUUSD within Bear Bias.

The energy side shows Market Energy dropped -20.3% from the previous session, from -5.1% to -25.4%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -25.4 to +29.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 08-07-2019 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,395.28, down 0.04% from the previous candle (1,395.79). Market Energy was -25.4%, down 40.5 points from 15.1%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,395.28, down 0.04% from the previous Daily candle (1,395.79). This drop is larger than 8% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD, across 161 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 40.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 15.1% to -25.4%. This drop is larger than 86% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XAUUSD at 15.1%, Neutral — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -25.4%, XAUUSD is 4.57 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 34.55 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -15.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -55.5%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Bias, -25.4%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 72.4%. XAUUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .