Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 1,127.35 to 1,114.87, down 1.11%
Market Energy Neutral -15.8% to Bear Critical -67.1%, down 51.3 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.67%▼ 1.22%▼ 0.43%▼ 1.11%
Energy▼ 6.1▼ 46.2▼ 51.5▼ 51.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.67%▼ 1.22%▼ 0.43%▼ 1.11%▼ 6.1▼ 46.2▼ 51.5▼ 51.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.11%: not enough data to rank
0%255075100%
Energy down 51.3 pts: not enough data to rank
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical XAUUSD Daily

Sample: 4,005 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 196 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 129 times — 65.8%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 67 times — 34.2%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: -67.08%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 7.08%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 7.42%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · D1 · 2015-09-30 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
-15.8%
Neutral
-67.1%
Bear Critical
-78.0%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the Daily candle just closed, XAUUSD classified as the near-peak Bear energy state.

Market energy movement Market trend energy recorded a -51.3% drop from the previous candle, from -15.8% to -67.1%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -67.1 to +81.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 30-09-2015 closed, XAUUSD was at 1,114.87, down 1.11% from the previous candle (1,127.35). Market Energy was -67.1%, down 51.3 points from -15.8%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 1,114.87, down 1.11% from the previous Daily candle (1,127.35).

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 51.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -15.8% to -67.1%.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XAUUSD at -15.8%, Neutral — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Critical.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -67.1%, XAUUSD is 7.08 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 7.42 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -13.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 43.8%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Critical, -67.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -1.1%. XAUUSD energy is currently below DXY by 66 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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