Analysis

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USDCAD is currently leaning slightly toward sellers, energy -15.8%. This still sits in the Neutral zone — the probability of a clear trend is not yet defined.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Neutral USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,117 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-25
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,868 times

When USDCAD is in Neutral:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 950 times50.9%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 918 times49.1%

Current USDCAD market energy: -15.78%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 36.66%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 5.1%

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USDCAD · H4 · 2026-08-21 17:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-32.2%
Bear Bias
-15.8%
Neutral
6.4%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, USDCAD within balanced energy.

End-of-session energy readings on 4H, A +16.4% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -15.8% (previous: -32.2%).

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -90.6 to +53.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was USDCAD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 22-08-2026 closed, USDCAD was in Neutral with Market Energy -15.8%, the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 16.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -32.2% to -15.8%.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at -32.2%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Bias → Neutral.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -15.8%, USDCAD is 36.66 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 5.1 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 17%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 57.4%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Neutral, -15.8%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 44.6%. USDCAD energy is currently below DXY by 60.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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