Analysis

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USDCAD is currently controlled by sellers, in the Bear Bias zone. Measured energy: -32.2%.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bear Bias USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,107 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-21
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,366 times

When USDCAD is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 949 times69.5%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 417 times30.5%

Current USDCAD market energy: -32.18%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 11.3%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 27.82%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-08-21 13:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-73.4%
Bear Critical
-32.2%
Bear Bias
-15.8%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, USDCAD in the Bear Bias state.

Market movement after the 4H candle closes, Energy delta +41.2%: Market Energy at -32.2%, previously -73.4%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -90.6 to +53.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was USDCAD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 21-08-2026 closed, USDCAD was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -32.2%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 41.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -73.4% to -32.2%.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at -73.4%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Critical → Bear Bias.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -32.2%, USDCAD is 11.3 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 27.82 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -25.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 89.3%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bear Bias, -32.2%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 46.6%. USDCAD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. Method: see Guide.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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