Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
SPX500 Index from 5,673 to 5,655.6 points, down 0.31%
Market Energy Bull Critical 74.5% to Bull Critical 66.8%, down 7.7 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.30%▲ 0.43%▼ 0.09%▼ 0.31%
Energy▲ 9.5▼ 5.9▼ 3.3▼ 7.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.30%▲ 0.43%▼ 0.09%▼ 0.31%▲ 9.5▼ 5.9▼ 3.3▼ 7.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.31% — higher than 70% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 7.7 pts — higher than 46% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical SPX500 Index 4H

Sample: 18,161 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,077 times

▸When SPX500 Index is in Bull Critical:

  • then SPX500 Index moved to higher Market State: 394 times — 36.6%
  • then SPX500 Index moved to lower Market State: 683 times — 63.4%

▸Current SPX500 Index market energy: 66.78%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 7.72%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 6.78%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

SPX500 · H4 · 2025-03-18 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
74.5%
Bull Critical
66.8%
Bull Critical
67.7%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, Market SPX500 in Bull Critical.

Observing the SPX500 market this session, Market Energy dropped -7.7% this candle, currently 66.8% (previous candle 74.5%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SPX500 Index Market Energy ranged from -71.9 to +83.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SPX500 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 18-03-2025 closed, SPX500 Index was at 5,655.6, down 0.31% from the previous candle (5,673). Market Energy was 66.8%, down 7.7 points from 74.5%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did SPX500 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SPX500 closed at 5,655.6, down 0.31% from the previous 4H candle (5,673). This drop is larger than 70% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SPX500, across 9,583 candles since 2019.

How did SPX500 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 7.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 74.5% to 66.8%. This drop is larger than 46% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SPX500.

Do SPX500 price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was SPX500 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SPX500 Index at 74.5%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does SPX500 Index energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 66.8%, SPX500 Index is 7.72 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 6.78 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.5%. Against this backdrop, SPX500 Index (Bull Critical, 66.8%) lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -32.6%. SPX500 Index (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SPX500 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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