Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
SPX500 Index from 6,277.8 to 6,272.4 points, down 0.09%
Market Energy Bull Critical 70.3% to Neutral 17.6%, down 52.7 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.16%▼ 0.03%▼ 0.04%▼ 0.09%
Energy▲ 32.7▼ 5.5▼ 12.0▼ 52.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.16%▼ 0.03%▼ 0.04%▼ 0.09%▲ 32.7▼ 5.5▼ 12.0▼ 52.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.09% — higher than 52% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 52.7 pts — higher than 91% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral SPX500 Index 1H

Sample: 70,159 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-10-09
Number of Neutral occurrences: 5,397 times

▸When SPX500 Index is in Neutral:

  • then SPX500 Index moved to higher Market State: 2,897 times — 53.7%
  • then SPX500 Index moved to lower Market State: 2,500 times — 46.3%

▸Current SPX500 Index market energy: 17.57%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 3.31%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 38.45%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

SPX500 · H1 · 2025-08-04 11:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
70.3%
Bull Critical
17.6%
Neutral
15.2%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Measurement result after the 1H candle closes, Result for SPX500: the balanced energy state.

Market energy measurement Market Energy reading dropped -52.7%, moving from 70.3% to 17.6% after the 1H candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SPX500 Index Market Energy ranged from -94.4 to +87.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SPX500 Index price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 18:00 on 04-08-2025 closed, SPX500 Index was at 6,272.4, down 0.09% from the previous candle (6,277.8). Market Energy was 17.6%, down 52.7 points from 70.3%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did SPX500 price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

SPX500 closed at 6,272.4, down 0.09% from the previous 1H candle (6,277.8). This drop is larger than 52% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for SPX500, across 39,080 candles since 2019.

How did SPX500 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 52.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 70.3% to 17.6%. This drop is larger than 91% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for SPX500.

Do SPX500 price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was SPX500 Index in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had SPX500 Index at 70.3%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, SPX500 Index moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Neutral.

Where does SPX500 Index energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 17.6%, SPX500 Index is 3.31 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 38.45 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 83.7%. Against this backdrop, SPX500 Index (Neutral, 17.6%) lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -27%. SPX500 Index energy is currently above DXY by 44.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SPX500 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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