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| Price | ▼ 0.87% | ▲ 0.27% | ▼ 2.56% | ▼ 3.80% |
| Energy | ▼ 7.2 | ▲ 1.2 | ▼ 11.8 | ▼ 25.0 |
Trend of Bear Critical POLUSD 4H
▸When POLUSD is in Bear Critical:
- then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 92 times — 78.6%
- then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 25 times — 21.4%
▸Current POLUSD market energy: -74.28%
- Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 14.28%
- Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 0.22%
"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING
Reading from the 4H candle, Result for POLUSD: the near-extreme Bear energy state.
At the 4H session close, Market Energy moved from -49.3% to -74.3%, down -25% from the previous candle.
Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle
Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.
Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -74.3 to +38.9.
Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?
When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 16-01-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.1391, down 3.8% from the previous candle (0.1446). Market Energy was -74.3%, down 25.0 points from -49.3%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.
How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?
POLUSD closed at 0.1391, down 3.8% from the previous 4H candle (0.1446). This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 2,940 candles since 2019.
How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?
Market Energy fell 25 percentage points from the previous candle — from -49.3% to -74.3%. This drop is larger than 86% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.
Do POLUSD price and energy agree?
Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.
What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?
The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at -49.3%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.
Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?
At -74.3%, POLUSD is 14.28 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 0.22 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.
What does Bear Critical mean?
Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.
See the full Bear Critical definition →How are the broader market indices trending?
Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -75.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -48.4%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Critical, -74.3%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.
How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?
Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -18.4%. POLUSD energy is currently below DXY by 55.9 points.
See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.
Open Energy ChartSee the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →
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