Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.1441 to 0.1583, up 9.85%
Market Energy Bull Critical 72.9% to Bull Extreme 83.2%, up 10.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price3.97%5.17%3.03%9.85%
Energy8.710.515.810.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
3.97% 5.17% 3.03% 9.85% 8.7 10.5 15.8 10.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 9.85% — largest on record (since 2019)
0%255075100%
Energy up 10.3 pts — higher than 56% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,372 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 57 times

When POLUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 57 times100%

Current POLUSD market energy: 83.21%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 16.79%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 8.71%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-01-09 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
72.9%
Bull Critical
83.2%
Bull Extreme
72.9%
Bull Critical
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Bull in Extreme state recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for POLUSD.

End-of-session energy readings on 4H, Market Energy moved from 72.9% to 83.2%, up +10.3% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -20 to +88.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 09-01-2026 closed, POLUSD was at 0.1583, up 9.85% from the previous candle (0.1441). Market Energy was 83.2%, up 10.3 points from 72.9%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.1583, up 9.85% from the previous 4H candle (0.1441). This is the largest of all rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD on record since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 10.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 72.9% to 83.2%. This rise is larger than 56% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 72.9%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Critical → Bull Extreme.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 83.2%, POLUSD is 16.79 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 8.71 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 54.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 90.7%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Extreme, 83.2%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 24.3%. POLUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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