Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.4152 to 0.3905, down 5.95%
Market Energy Bear Bias -46.5% to Bear Bias -59.4%, down 12.9 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.35%0.02%4.46%5.95%
Energy0.20.93.812.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.35% 0.02% 4.46% 5.95% 0.2 0.9 3.8 12.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 5.95% — higher than 85% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 12.9 pts — higher than 67% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias POLUSD Daily

Sample: 731 Daily candles from 2024-09-14 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 72 times

When POLUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 47 times65.3%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 25 times34.7%

Current POLUSD market energy: -59.4%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 38.52%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 0.6%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · D1 · 2025-01-28 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
-46.5%
Bear Bias
-59.4%
Bear Bias
-58.4%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the Daily candle just closed, POLUSD classified as the energy state tilted toward Bear.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy at -59.4%, down -12.9% from -46.5% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 10 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -59.4 to -41.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 28-01-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.3905, down 5.95% from the previous candle (0.4152). Market Energy was -59.4%, down 12.9 points from -46.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.3905, down 5.95% from the previous Daily candle (0.4152). This drop is larger than 85% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for POLUSD, across 136 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 12.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -46.5% to -59.4%. This drop is larger than 67% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had POLUSD at -46.5%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -59.4%, POLUSD is 38.52 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 0.6 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 45%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 59.2%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Bias, -59.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 26.5%. POLUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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