Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.4421 to 0.4528, up 2.42%
Market Energy Bear Bias -50.1% to Bear Bias -41.8%, up 8.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price4.81%7.82%0.74%2.42%
Energy22.262.514.08.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
4.81% 7.82% 0.74% 2.42% 22.2 62.5 14.0 8.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 2.42% — higher than 51% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 8.3 pts — higher than 53% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias POLUSD Daily

Sample: 731 Daily candles from 2024-09-14 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 72 times

When POLUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 47 times65.3%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 25 times34.7%

Current POLUSD market energy: -41.84%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 20.96%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 18.16%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · D1 · 2025-01-21 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
-50.1%
Bear Bias
-41.8%
Bear Bias
-42.5%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the Daily candle closes, Result for POLUSD: the Bear Bias energy level.

The market energy reading Market Energy reading rose +8.3%, moving from -50.1% to -41.8% after the Daily candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 3 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -50.1 to +48.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 21-01-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.4528, up 2.42% from the previous candle (0.4421). Market Energy was -41.8%, up 8.3 points from -50.1%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.4528, up 2.42% from the previous Daily candle (0.4421). This rise is larger than 51% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for POLUSD, across 129 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 8.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -50.1% to -41.8%. This rise is larger than 53% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had POLUSD at -50.1%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -41.8%, POLUSD is 20.96 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 18.16 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -57.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -69.6%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Bias, -41.8%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -82%. POLUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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