Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.4697 to 0.4638, down 1.26%
Market Energy Bear Bias -32.8% to Bear Bias -51.1%, down 18.3 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.28%1.57%10.50%1.26%
Energy6.11.271.018.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.28% 1.57% 10.50% 1.26% 6.1 1.2 71.0 18.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.26% — higher than 22% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 18.3 pts — higher than 80% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias POLUSD Daily

Sample: 731 Daily candles from 2024-09-14 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 72 times

When POLUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 47 times65.3%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 25 times34.7%

Current POLUSD market energy: -51.14%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 30.26%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 8.86%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · D1 · 2025-01-08 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
-32.8%
Bear Bias
-51.1%
Bear Bias
-53.6%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the Daily session ends, POLUSD within the energy zone leaning Bear.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy dropped -18.3% from the previous candle, from -32.8% to -51.1%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -51.1 to +45.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 08-01-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.4638, down 1.26% from the previous candle (0.4697). Market Energy was -51.1%, down 18.3 points from -32.8%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.4638, down 1.26% from the previous Daily candle (0.4697). This drop is larger than 22% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for POLUSD, across 116 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 18.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -32.8% to -51.1%. This drop is larger than 80% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had POLUSD at -32.8%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -51.1%, POLUSD is 30.26 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 8.86 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -70.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 15.8%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Bias, -51.1%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 70.7%. POLUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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