Analysis

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Price and energy
POLUSD from 0.5248 to 0.4697, down 10.50%
Market Energy Bull Bias 38.2% to Bear Bias -32.8%, down 71.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.81%1.28%1.57%10.50%
Energy15.06.11.271.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.81% 1.28% 1.57% 10.50% 15.0 6.1 1.2 71.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 10.50% — higher than 97% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 71.0 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias POLUSD Daily

Sample: 731 Daily candles from 2024-09-14 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 72 times

When POLUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 47 times65.3%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 25 times34.7%

Current POLUSD market energy: -32.79%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 11.91%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 27.21%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · D1 · 2025-01-07 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
38.2%
Bull Bias
-32.8%
Bear Bias
-51.1%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the Daily data updates, POLUSD within the Bear Bias energy level.

On the energy side, Market Energy at -32.8%, down -71% from 38.2% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -32.8 to +45.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 07-01-2025 closed, POLUSD was at 0.4697, down 10.5% from the previous candle (0.5248). Market Energy was -32.8%, down 71.0 points from 38.2%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.4697, down 10.5% from the previous Daily candle (0.5248). This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for POLUSD, across 115 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 71 percentage points from the previous candle — from 38.2% to -32.8%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had POLUSD at 38.2%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -32.8%, POLUSD is 11.91 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 27.21 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -60.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 23.7%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Bias, -32.8%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -45.1%. POLUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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