Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 1.923 to 1.917, down 0.31%
Market Energy Bull Critical 68.2% to Bull Extreme 75.6%, up 7.5 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.65%1.20%6.42%0.31%
Energy2.520.768.17.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.65% 1.20% 6.42% 0.31% 2.5 20.7 68.1 7.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.31% — higher than 14% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 7.5 pts — higher than 44% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 12,939 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 333 times

When NEARUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 333 times100%

Current NEARUSD market energy: 75.64%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 24.36%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 1.14%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-07-02 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
68.2%
Bull Critical
75.6%
Bull Extreme
77.1%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, NEARUSD reflects Bull energy at Extreme.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, A +7.5% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 75.6% (previous: 68.2%).

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -42.4 to +75.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 02-07-2026 closed, NEARUSD was at 1.917, down 0.31% from the previous candle (1.923). Market Energy was 75.6%, up 7.5 points from 68.2%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 1.917, down 0.31% from the previous 4H candle (1.923). This drop is larger than 14% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 12,521 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 7.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 68.2% to 75.6%. This rise is larger than 44% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved down while energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at 68.2%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Critical → Bull Extreme.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 75.6%, NEARUSD is 24.36 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 1.14 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 71.7%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bull Extreme, 75.6%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -11.8%. NEARUSD energy is currently above DXY by 87.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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