Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 1.807 to 1.923, up 6.42%
Market Energy Neutral 0.1% to Bull Critical 68.2%, up 68.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.91%0.65%1.20%6.42%
Energy30.22.520.768.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.91% 0.65% 1.20% 6.42% 30.2 2.5 20.7 68.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 6.42% — higher than 96% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 68.1 pts — higher than 97% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 12,938 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 531 times

When NEARUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 125 times23.5%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 406 times76.5%

Current NEARUSD market energy: 68.18%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 6.32%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 8.18%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-07-02 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
0.1%
Neutral
68.2%
Bull Critical
75.6%
Bull Extreme
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The near-extreme Bull energy state determined for NEARUSD through the 4H candle data.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market trend energy recorded a +68.1% rise from the previous candle, from 0.1% to 68.2%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -42.4 to +68.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 02-07-2026 closed, NEARUSD was at 1.923, up 6.42% from the previous candle (1.807). Market Energy was 68.2%, up 68.1 points from 0.1%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 1.923, up 6.42% from the previous 4H candle (1.807). This rise is larger than 96% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 12,520 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 68.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 0.1% to 68.2%. This rise is larger than 97% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at 0.1%, Neutral — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Critical.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 68.2%, NEARUSD is 6.32 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 8.18 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 34.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 8.6%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bull Critical, 68.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 2.1%. NEARUSD energy is currently above DXY by 66.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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