Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 1.61 to 1.611, up 0.06%
Market Energy Bear Critical -63.4% to Bear Critical -70.7%, down 7.4 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.31%0.12%5.41%0.06%
Energy14.55.331.57.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.31% 0.12% 5.41% 0.06% 14.5 5.3 31.5 7.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.06% — higher than 2% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 7.4 pts — higher than 41% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 12,945 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 513 times

When NEARUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 381 times74.3%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 132 times25.7%

Current NEARUSD market energy: -70.74%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 10.74%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.76%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2025-12-12 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
-63.4%
Bear Critical
-70.7%
Bear Critical
-59.2%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, NEARUSD within the Bear Critical zone.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy dropped -7.4% from the previous session, from -63.4% to -70.7%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -80.4 to +96.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 12-12-2025 closed, NEARUSD was at 1.611, up 0.06% from the previous candle (1.61). Market Energy was -70.7%, down 7.4 points from -63.4%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 1.611, up 0.06% from the previous 4H candle (1.61). This rise is larger than 2% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 11,312 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 7.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -63.4% to -70.7%. This drop is larger than 41% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at -63.4%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -70.7%, NEARUSD is 10.74 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.76 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -99.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -96.1%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bear Critical, -70.7%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -4.7%. NEARUSD energy is currently below DXY by 66 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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