Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1617 to 1.1416, down 1.73%
Market Energy Bear Bias -36.0% to Bear Critical -71.8%, down 35.8 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.72%▲ 0.30%▼ 1.70%▼ 1.73%
Energy▼ 15.5▲ 1.0▼ 38.3▼ 35.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.72%▲ 0.30%▼ 1.70%▼ 1.73%▼ 15.5▲ 1.0▼ 38.3▼ 35.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.73% — higher than 94% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 35.8 pts — higher than 93% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical EURUSD Weekly

Sample: 613 Weekly candles from 2015-01-05 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 19 times

▸When EURUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 15 times — 78.9%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 4 times — 21.1%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: -71.8%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 11.8%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 2.7%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · W1 · 2026-03-09 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURUSD chart →
Market Energy
-36.0%
Bear Bias
-71.8%
Bear Critical
-52.6%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, EURUSD on Weekly is in bear critical with energy -71.8. Energy changed -35.8 from previous candle.

EURUSD on Weekly timeframe is currently in bear critical state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads -71.8, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 09-03-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1416, down 1.73% from the previous candle (1.1617). Market Energy was -71.8%, down 35.8 points from -36%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1416, down 1.73% from the previous Weekly candle (1.1617). This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for EURUSD, across 375 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 35.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -36% to -71.8%. This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had EURUSD at -36%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, EURUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -71.8%, EURUSD is 11.8 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 2.7 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -93.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -99.1%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bear Critical, -71.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 99.5%. EURUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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