Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.0806 to 1.0725, down 0.75%
Market Energy Neutral -19.1% to Bear Bias -34.3%, down 15.2 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.02%▼ 1.53%▼ 0.40%▼ 0.75%
Energy▼ 4.7▼ 33.6▼ 21.5▼ 15.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.02%▼ 1.53%▼ 0.40%▼ 0.75%▼ 4.7▼ 33.6▼ 21.5▼ 15.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.75% — higher than 60% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 15.2 pts — higher than 61% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias EURUSD Weekly

Sample: 613 Weekly candles from 2015-01-05 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 53 times

▸When EURUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 38 times — 71.7%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 15 times — 28.3%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: -34.32%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 13.44%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 25.68%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · W1 · 2023-05-22 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-19.1%
Neutral
-34.3%
Bear Bias
-38.0%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the Weekly candle, EURUSD noted at the energy zone tilted toward Bear.

Market movement after the Weekly candle closes, Market Energy dropped -15.2% from the previous session, from -19.1% to -34.3%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 22-05-2023 closed, EURUSD was at 1.0725, down 0.75% from the previous candle (1.0806). Market Energy was -34.3%, down 15.2 points from -19.1%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.0725, down 0.75% from the previous Weekly candle (1.0806). This drop is larger than 60% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for EURUSD, across 229 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 15.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -19.1% to -34.3%. This drop is larger than 61% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had EURUSD at -19.1%, Neutral — when this candle closed, EURUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -34.3%, EURUSD is 13.44 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 25.68 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -26.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 37.5%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bear Bias, -34.3%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -66.3%. EURUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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