Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.0176 to 1.016, down 0.16%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -75.5% to Bear Extreme -82.5%, down 6.9 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.42%▼ 0.06%▼ 0.25%▼ 0.16%
Energy▼ 23.9▼ 8.5▼ 4.0▼ 6.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.42%▼ 0.06%▼ 0.25%▼ 0.16%▼ 23.9▼ 8.5▼ 4.0▼ 6.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.16% — higher than 75% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 6.9 pts — higher than 42% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme EURUSD 4H

Sample: 21,419 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 326 times

▸When EURUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 326 times — 100%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: -82.46%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 7.96%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 17.54%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H4 · 2022-08-15 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-75.5%
Bear Extreme
-82.5%
Bear Extreme
-83.0%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

EURUSD recorded in Bear Extreme as the 4H candle ended.

Meanwhile, Compared to the previous candle (-75.5%), Market Energy dropped -6.9% to -82.5%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -82.5 to +74.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 16-08-2022 closed, EURUSD was at 1.016, down 0.16% from the previous candle (1.0176). Market Energy was -82.5%, down 6.9 points from -75.5%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.016, down 0.16% from the previous 4H candle (1.0176). This drop is larger than 75% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD, across 5,640 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 6.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -75.5% to -82.5%. This drop is larger than 42% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURUSD at -75.5%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -82.5%, EURUSD is 7.96 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 17.54 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 90.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 70.2%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bear Extreme, -82.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 80%. EURUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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