Analysis

·

Candle open
Price and energy
COCOA from 8,246.8 to 8,166.4, down 0.97%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -76.7% to Bear Extreme -90.0%, down 13.3 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 1.15%▼ 0.06%▼ 6.83%▼ 0.97%
Energy▼ 6.6▼ 8.8▼ 84.3▼ 13.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 1.15%▼ 0.06%▼ 6.83%▼ 0.97%▼ 6.6▼ 8.8▼ 84.3▼ 13.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.97% — higher than 44% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.3 pts — higher than 53% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme COCOA Daily

Sample: 2,639 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-06
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 129 times

▸When COCOA is in Bear Extreme:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 129 times — 100%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current COCOA market energy: -90.03%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 15.53%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 9.97%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · D1 · 2025-07-02 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COCOA chart →
Market Energy
-76.7%
Bear Extreme
-90.0%
Bear Extreme
-86.0%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the Daily session concludes, COCOA recorded in the Extreme state of Bear.

Looking at the energy level, A -13.3% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -90% (previous: -76.7%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -90 to +16.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 02-07-2025 closed, COCOA was at 8,166.4, down 0.97% from the previous candle (8,246.8). Market Energy was -90%, down 13.3 points from -76.7%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did COCOA price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 8,166.4, down 0.97% from the previous Daily candle (8,246.8). This drop is larger than 44% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for COCOA, across 1,627 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -76.7% to -90%. This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had COCOA at -76.7%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -90%, COCOA is 15.53 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 9.97 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 22.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -32.2%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bear Extreme, -90%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 39.1%. COCOA (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .