Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
COCOA from 8,850.9 to 8,246.8, down 6.83%
Market Energy Neutral 7.6% to Bear Extreme -76.7%, down 84.3 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 3.55%▼ 1.15%▼ 0.06%▼ 6.83%
Energy▲ 45.7▼ 6.6▼ 8.8▼ 84.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 3.55%▼ 1.15%▼ 0.06%▼ 6.83%▲ 45.7▼ 6.6▼ 8.8▼ 84.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 6.83% — higher than 97% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 84.3 pts — higher than 97% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme COCOA Daily

Sample: 2,639 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-06
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 129 times

▸When COCOA is in Bear Extreme:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 129 times — 100%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current COCOA market energy: -76.69%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.19%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 23.31%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · D1 · 2025-07-01 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COCOA chart →
Market Energy
7.6%
Neutral
-76.7%
Bear Extreme
-90.0%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed Daily candle data, COCOA shows the Bear Extreme state.

On the measurement side, The energy level dropped -84.3%: from 7.6% now at -76.7%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -76.7 to +23.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 01-07-2025 closed, COCOA was at 8,246.8, down 6.83% from the previous candle (8,850.9). Market Energy was -76.7%, down 84.3 points from 7.6%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did COCOA price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 8,246.8, down 6.83% from the previous Daily candle (8,850.9). This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for COCOA, across 1,626 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 84.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 7.6% to -76.7%. This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had COCOA at 7.6%, Neutral — when this candle closed, COCOA moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Extreme.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -76.7%, COCOA is 2.19 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 23.31 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 48.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 34.1%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bear Extreme, -76.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -89.5%. COCOA (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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