Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 91,167.5 to 90,607.5, down 0.61%
Market Energy Bear Bias -54.1% to Bear Bias -48.3%, up 5.8 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 2.32%▲ 1.73%▲ 3.71%▼ 0.61%
Energy▼ 4.1▲ 6.7▲ 3.4▲ 5.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 2.32%▲ 1.73%▲ 3.71%▼ 0.61%▼ 4.1▲ 6.7▲ 3.4▲ 5.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.61% — higher than 13% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 5.8 pts — higher than 29% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias BTCUSD Weekly

Sample: 806 Weekly candles from 2011-04-18 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 54 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 33 times — 61.1%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 21 times — 38.9%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: -48.3%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 27.42%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 11.7%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · W1 · 2026-01-05 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-54.1%
Bear Bias
-48.3%
Bear Bias
-24.0%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, BTCUSD on Weekly is in bear bias with energy -48.3. Energy changed +5.8 from previous candle.

BTCUSD on Weekly timeframe is currently in bear bias state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads -48.3, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 05-01-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 90,607.5, down 0.61% from the previous candle (91,167.5). Market Energy was -48.3%, up 5.8 points from -54.1%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 90,607.5, down 0.61% from the previous Weekly candle (91,167.5). This drop is larger than 13% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for BTCUSD, across 366 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 5.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -54.1% to -48.3%. This rise is larger than 29% of past rises on the Weekly timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved down while energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had BTCUSD at -54.1%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -48.3%, BTCUSD is 27.42 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 11.7 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -37.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 65.9%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Bias, -48.3%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 34%. BTCUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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