Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 108,381.91 to 109,263.55, up 0.81%
Market Energy Bull Bias 41.4% to Bull Critical 61.4%, up 20.0 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.15%▼ 4.34%▲ 7.26%▲ 0.81%
Energy▼ 6.9▼ 35.3▲ 14.8▲ 20.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.15%▼ 4.34%▲ 7.26%▲ 0.81%▼ 6.9▼ 35.3▲ 14.8▲ 20.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.81% — higher than 11% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 20.0 pts — higher than 76% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical BTCUSD Weekly

Sample: 806 Weekly candles from 2011-04-18 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 52 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 20 times — 38.5%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 32 times — 61.5%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: 61.37%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 13.13%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 1.37%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · W1 · 2025-06-30 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
41.4%
Bull Bias
61.4%
Bull Critical
81.1%
Bull Extreme
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Reading from the Weekly candle, BTCUSD within Bull trend energy near extreme.

On the measurement side, Market Energy moved from 41.4% to 61.4%, up +20% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 30-06-2025 closed, BTCUSD was at 109,263.55, up 0.81% from the previous candle (108,381.91). Market Energy was 61.4%, up 20.0 points from 41.4%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 109,263.55, up 0.81% from the previous Weekly candle (108,381.91). This rise is larger than 11% of past rises on the Weekly timeframe for BTCUSD, across 339 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 20 percentage points from the previous candle — from 41.4% to 61.4%. This rise is larger than 76% of past rises on the Weekly timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had BTCUSD at 41.4%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 61.4%, BTCUSD is 13.13 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 1.37 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -12%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 86.5%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Critical, 61.4%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 15.8%. BTCUSD energy is currently above DXY by 45.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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