Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 76,326.45 to 75,856.29, down 0.62%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 78.7% to Bull Critical 63.8%, down 14.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.50%▲ 0.70%▲ 0.77%▼ 0.62%
Energy▲ 22.5▲ 76.5▲ 41.2▼ 14.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.50%▲ 0.70%▲ 0.77%▼ 0.62%▲ 22.5▲ 76.5▲ 41.2▼ 14.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.62% — higher than 59% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 14.9 pts — higher than 69% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,513 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,067 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 303 times — 28.4%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 764 times — 71.6%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: 63.8%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 10.7%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 3.8%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2026-04-20 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
78.7%
Bull Extreme
63.8%
Bull Critical
53.0%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, BTCUSD reflects Bull in Critical state.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, The energy level dropped -14.9%: from 78.7% now at 63.8%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.8 to +94.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 21-04-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 75,856.29, down 0.62% from the previous candle (76,326.45). Market Energy was 63.8%, down 14.9 points from 78.7%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 75,856.29, down 0.62% from the previous 4H candle (76,326.45). This drop is larger than 59% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 16,002 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 14.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 78.7% to 63.8%. This drop is larger than 69% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 78.7%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 63.8%, BTCUSD is 10.7 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 3.8 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 52.7%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Critical, 63.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -60.3%. BTCUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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