Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 28,499.85 to 28,463.42, down 0.13%
Market Energy Bull Bias 51.7% to Bull Critical 67.1%, up 15.4 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 1.52%▲ 0.67%▲ 2.02%▼ 0.13%
Energy▼ 18.2▲ 5.1▲ 88.0▲ 15.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 1.52%▲ 0.67%▲ 2.02%▼ 0.13%▼ 18.2▲ 5.1▲ 88.0▲ 15.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.13% — higher than 15% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 15.4 pts — higher than 68% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,519 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,067 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 303 times — 28.4%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 764 times — 71.6%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: 67.14%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 7.36%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 7.14%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2023-03-31 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
51.7%
Bull Bias
67.1%
Bull Critical
59.9%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

BTCUSD classified into the Bull Critical state after the 4H candle completed.

Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, Energy delta +15.4%: Market Energy at 67.1%, previously 51.7%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -86 to +91.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 31-03-2023 closed, BTCUSD was at 28,463.42, down 0.13% from the previous candle (28,499.85). Market Energy was 67.1%, up 15.4 points from 51.7%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 28,463.42, down 0.13% from the previous 4H candle (28,499.85). This drop is larger than 15% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 9,305 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 15.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 51.7% to 67.1%. This rise is larger than 68% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 51.7%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 67.1%, BTCUSD is 7.36 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 7.14 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 98.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 73.3%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Critical, 67.1%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.2%. BTCUSD energy is currently above DXY by 69.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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