Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 42,476.91 to 41,711.92, down 1.80%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 83.1% to Bull Critical 72.5%, down 10.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.57%▲ 0.39%▲ 2.37%▼ 1.80%
Energy▼ 3.9▼ 6.7▲ 9.4▼ 10.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.57%▲ 0.39%▲ 2.37%▼ 1.80%▼ 3.9▼ 6.7▲ 9.4▼ 10.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.80% — higher than 85% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.6 pts — higher than 59% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,513 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,067 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 303 times — 28.4%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 764 times — 71.6%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: 72.54%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 1.96%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 12.54%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2021-08-01 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live BTCUSD chart →
Market Energy
83.1%
Bull Extreme
72.5%
Bull Critical
60.9%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, Market BTCUSD in the Bull Critical measurement.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, A -10.6% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 72.5% (previous: 83.1%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -55.9 to +98.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 01-08-2021 closed, BTCUSD was at 41,711.92, down 1.8% from the previous candle (42,476.91). Market Energy was 72.5%, down 10.6 points from 83.1%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 41,711.92, down 1.8% from the previous 4H candle (42,476.91). This drop is larger than 85% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 5,660 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 83.1% to 72.5%. This drop is larger than 59% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 83.1%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 72.5%, BTCUSD is 1.96 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 12.54 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 43.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 17.9%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Critical, 72.5%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 58.3%. BTCUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .