Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 52,161.06 to 52,049.09, down 0.21%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 81.2% to Bull Critical 73.1%, down 8.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.22%▲ 1.89%▲ 0.06%▼ 0.21%
Energy▼ 11.2▲ 5.8▲ 0.6▼ 8.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.22%▲ 1.89%▲ 0.06%▼ 0.21%▼ 11.2▲ 5.8▲ 0.6▼ 8.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.21% — higher than 26% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 8.0 pts — higher than 50% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,513 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,067 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 303 times — 28.4%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 764 times — 71.6%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: 73.14%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 1.36%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 13.14%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2021-02-18 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
81.2%
Bull Extreme
73.1%
Bull Critical
65.1%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

BTCUSD recorded in the Bull Critical level as the 4H candle ended.

Market trend energy Market Energy dropped -8% from the previous session, from 81.2% to 73.1%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -39.6 to +85.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 18-02-2021 closed, BTCUSD was at 52,049.09, down 0.21% from the previous candle (52,161.06). Market Energy was 73.1%, down 8.0 points from 81.2%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 52,049.09, down 0.21% from the previous 4H candle (52,161.06). This drop is larger than 26% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 4,675 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 81.2% to 73.1%. This drop is larger than 50% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 81.2%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 73.1%, BTCUSD is 1.36 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 13.14 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -39.7%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Critical, 73.1%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 21%. BTCUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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