Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2818 to 0.2717, down 3.58%
Market Energy Bear Critical -61.6% to Bear Critical -60.8%, up 0.8 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 15.72%▼ 5.49%▲ 4.33%▼ 3.58%
Energy▼ 8.4▲ 4.1▲ 9.2▲ 0.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 15.72%▼ 5.49%▲ 4.33%▼ 3.58%▼ 8.4▲ 4.1▲ 9.2▲ 0.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.58% — higher than 33% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 0.8 pts — higher than 6% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical ADAUSD Weekly

Sample: 441 Weekly candles from 2018-04-23 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 20 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 16 times — 80%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 4 times — 20%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: -60.78%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 0.78%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 13.72%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · W1 · 2026-02-16 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-61.6%
Bear Critical
-60.8%
Bear Critical
-57.3%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the Weekly candle closes, ADAUSD recorded in Bear trend energy near extreme.

Market trend update: Market trend energy recorded a +0.8% rise from the previous candle, from -61.6% to -60.8%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 16-02-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2717, down 3.58% from the previous candle (0.2818). Market Energy was -60.8%, up 0.8 points from -61.6%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2717, down 3.58% from the previous Weekly candle (0.2818). This drop is larger than 33% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for ADAUSD, across 372 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 0.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -61.6% to -60.8%. This rise is larger than 6% of past rises on the Weekly timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had ADAUSD at -61.6%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -60.8%, ADAUSD is 0.78 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 13.72 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 5.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 13.4%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Critical, -60.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 5.7%. ADAUSD energy is currently below DXY by 66.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

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Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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