Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
ADAUSD from 1.042 to 0.931, down 10.65%
Market Energy Bear Bias -53.0% to Bear Critical -72.3%, down 19.2 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 7.92%▲ 10.43%▼ 8.84%▼ 10.65%
Energy▼ 23.1▲ 10.3▼ 0.9▼ 19.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 7.92%▲ 10.43%▼ 8.84%▼ 10.65%▼ 23.1▲ 10.3▼ 0.9▼ 19.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 10.65% — higher than 72% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 19.2 pts — higher than 78% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical ADAUSD Weekly

Sample: 441 Weekly candles from 2018-04-23 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 20 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 16 times — 80%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 4 times — 20%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: -72.26%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 12.26%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 2.24%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · W1 · 2022-02-14 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-53.0%
Bear Bias
-72.3%
Bear Critical
-74.2%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

ADAUSD processing result: Bear Critical after the Weekly candle closed.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Compared to the previous candle (-53%), Market Energy dropped -19.2% to -72.3%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 14-02-2022 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.931, down 10.65% from the previous candle (1.042). Market Energy was -72.3%, down 19.2 points from -53%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.931, down 10.65% from the previous Weekly candle (1.042). This drop is larger than 72% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for ADAUSD, across 163 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 19.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -53% to -72.3%. This drop is larger than 78% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had ADAUSD at -53%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -72.3%, ADAUSD is 12.26 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 2.24 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -90.7%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Critical, -72.3%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 66.7%. ADAUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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