Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.584 to 0.5867, up 0.46%
Market Energy Bull Critical 67.3% to Bull Critical 60.2%, down 7.1 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 2.99%▲ 3.08%▼ 1.95%▲ 0.46%
Energy▲ 44.7▲ 39.7▼ 17.0▼ 7.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 2.99%▲ 3.08%▼ 1.95%▲ 0.46%▲ 44.7▲ 39.7▼ 17.0▼ 7.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.46% — higher than 27% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 7.1 pts — higher than 44% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,569 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 523 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 135 times — 25.8%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 388 times — 74.2%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: 60.18%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 14.32%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 0.18%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2025-07-03 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
67.3%
Bull Critical
60.2%
Bull Critical
74.2%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, Result for ADAUSD: the Bull Critical level.

Looking at the energy level, Compared to the previous candle (67.3%), Market Energy dropped -7.1% to 60.2%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -59.7 to +84.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 03-07-2025 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.5867, up 0.46% from the previous candle (0.584). Market Energy was 60.2%, down 7.1 points from 67.3%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.5867, up 0.46% from the previous 4H candle (0.584). This rise is larger than 27% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 14,246 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 7.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 67.3% to 60.2%. This drop is larger than 44% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at 67.3%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 60.2%, ADAUSD is 14.32 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 0.18 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 73.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 55.6%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bull Critical, 60.2%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -56.1%. ADAUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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