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Research

USD 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
1,177 USD 1H candles
Period
2023-08-08 – 2026-10-21 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme53 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical37 times
↑29.7%
↓70.3%
Bull Bias★53 times
↑41.5%
↓58.5%
Neutral46 times
↑37%
↓63%
Bear Bias60 times
↑55%
↓45%
Bear Critical41 times
↑41.5%
↓58.5%
Bear Extreme★73 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Extreme→Sellers→

USD — Bear Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 73 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 73 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -90.36%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 15.86 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 9.64 points

USD — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 41 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 17 times — 41.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 24 times — 58.5%

USD — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 60 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 33 times — 55%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 27 times — 45%

USD — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 46 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 17 times — 37%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 29 times — 63%

USD — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 53 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 22 times — 41.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 31 times — 58.5%

USD — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 37 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 11 times — 29.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 26 times — 70.3%

USD — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 53 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 53 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of USD?

Historically, when USD was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 73 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -90.36%, 15.86 points from the upper bound and 9.64 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,177 candles from 2023-08-08 to 2026-10-21, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing USD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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