Research

USD D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
1,357 USD D candles
Period
2019-01-31 – 2026-10-21 (7.7 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

USD — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 51 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 51 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

USD — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 37 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 23 times — 62.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 14 times — 37.8%

USD — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 51 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 24 times — 47.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 27 times — 52.9%

USD — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 35 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 15 times — 42.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 20 times — 57.1%

USD — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 45 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 20 times — 44.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 25 times — 55.6%

USD — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 38 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 18 times — 47.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 20 times — 52.6%

USD — Bull Extreme — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 50 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 50 times — 100%

Current market energy at 79.98%
Distance to peak 100%: 20.02 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 5.48 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of USD?

Historically, when USD was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 50 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 79.98%, 20.02 points from the upper bound and 5.48 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,357 candles from 2019-01-31 to 2026-10-21, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing USD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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