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Research

TCM W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
751 TCM W candles
Period
2012-03-26 – 2026-10-12 (14.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme33 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical44 times
↑38.6%
↓61.4%
Bull Bias67 times
↑43.3%
↓56.7%
Neutral55 times
↑54.5%
↓45.5%
Bear Bias★53 times
↑56.6%
↓43.4%
Bear Critical★35 times
↑57.1%
↓42.9%
Bear Extreme25 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Critical→Sellers→

TCM — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 25 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 25 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

TCM — Bear Critical — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 35 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 20 times — 57.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 15 times — 42.9%

Current market energy at -65.41%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 5.41 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 9.09 points

TCM — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 53 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 30 times — 56.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 23 times — 43.4%

TCM — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 55 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 30 times — 54.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 25 times — 45.5%

TCM — Bull Bias — W

Occurrences: 67 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 29 times — 43.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 38 times — 56.7%

TCM — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 44 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 17 times — 38.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 27 times — 61.4%

TCM — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 33 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 33 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of TCM?

Historically, when TCM was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 57.1% of the time and down to a lower zone 42.9% of the time (across 35 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -65.41%, 5.41 points from the upper bound and 9.09 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 751 candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing TCM's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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