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Research

TCM D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,640 TCM D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-22 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme★★181 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical208 times
↑28.4%
↓71.6%
Bull Bias287 times
↑44.3%
↓55.7%
Neutral258 times
↑55.4%
↓44.6%
Bear Bias205 times
↑56.6%
↓43.4%
Bear Critical145 times
↑59.3%
↓40.7%
Bear Extreme124 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bull Extreme→Buyers→

TCM — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 124 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 124 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

TCM — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 145 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 86 times — 59.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 59 times — 40.7%

TCM — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 205 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 116 times — 56.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 89 times — 43.4%

TCM — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 258 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 143 times — 55.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 115 times — 44.6%

TCM — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 287 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 127 times — 44.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 160 times — 55.7%

TCM — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 208 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 59 times — 28.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 149 times — 71.6%

TCM — Bull Extreme — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 181 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 181 times — 100%

Current market energy at 99.95%
Distance to peak 100%: 0.05 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 25.45 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of TCM?

Historically, when TCM was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 181 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 99.95%, 0.05 points from the upper bound and 25.45 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,640 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing TCM's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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