Research

TAR 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
1,045 TAR 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-16 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

TAR — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 46 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 46 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

TAR — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 69 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 45 times — 65.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 24 times — 34.8%

TAR — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 84 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 39 times — 46.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 45 times — 53.6%

TAR — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 72 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 32 times — 44.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 40 times — 55.6%

TAR — Bull Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 63 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 24 times — 38.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 39 times — 61.9%

Current market energy at 21.53%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 38.47 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 0.65 points

TAR — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 38 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 9 times — 23.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 29 times — 76.3%

TAR — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 36 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 36 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of TAR?

Historically, when TAR was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 38.1% of the time and down to a lower zone 61.9% of the time (across 63 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 21.53%, 38.47 points from the upper bound and 0.65 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,045 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-16, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing TAR's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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