Research

TAR D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
1,323 TAR D candles
Period
2019-02-21 – 2026-10-16 (7.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

TAR — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 46 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 46 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

TAR — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 63 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 45 times — 71.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 18 times — 28.6%

TAR — Bear Bias — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 93 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 44 times — 47.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 49 times — 52.7%

Current market energy at -47.25%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 26.37 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 12.75 points

TAR — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 98 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 55 times — 56.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 43 times — 43.9%

TAR — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 113 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 47 times — 41.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 66 times — 58.4%

TAR — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 71 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 19 times — 26.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 52 times — 73.2%

TAR — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 52 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 52 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of TAR?

Historically, when TAR was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 47.3% of the time and down to a lower zone 52.7% of the time (across 93 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -47.25%, 26.37 points from the upper bound and 12.75 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,323 candles from 2019-02-21 to 2026-10-16, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing TAR's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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