Research

PPY 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
941 PPY 1H candles
Period
2023-08-01 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

PPY — Bear Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 38 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 38 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -96.81%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 22.31 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 3.19 points

PPY — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 23 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 14 times — 60.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 9 times — 39.1%

PPY — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 43 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 26 times — 60.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 17 times — 39.5%

PPY — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 34 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 18 times — 52.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 16 times — 47.1%

PPY — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 36 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 25 times — 69.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 11 times — 30.6%

PPY — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 36 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 19 times — 52.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 17 times — 47.2%

PPY — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 63 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 63 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of PPY?

Historically, when PPY was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 38 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -96.81%, 22.31 points from the upper bound and 3.19 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 941 candles from 2023-08-01 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing PPY's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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