Research

PPY D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,203 PPY D candles
Period
2016-03-03 – 2026-10-09 (10.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

PPY — Bear Extreme — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 42 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 42 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -99.98%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 25.48 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 0.02 points

PPY — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 35 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 23 times — 65.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 12 times — 34.3%

PPY — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 40 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 22 times — 55%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 18 times — 45%

PPY — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 49 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 32 times — 65.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 17 times — 34.7%

PPY — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 74 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 43 times — 58.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 31 times — 41.9%

PPY — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 47 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 20 times — 42.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 27 times — 57.4%

PPY — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 78 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 78 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of PPY?

Historically, when PPY was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 42 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -99.98%, 25.48 points from the upper bound and 0.02 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,203 candles from 2016-03-03 to 2026-10-09, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing PPY's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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