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Research

PCE W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
572 PCE W candles
Period
2015-07-27 – 2026-10-15 (11.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme32 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical25 times
↑28%
↓72%
Bull Bias★★33 times
↑45.5%
↓54.5%
Neutral42 times
↑42.9%
↓57.1%
Bear Bias39 times
↑66.7%
↓33.3%
Bear Critical20 times
↑75%
↓25%
Bear Extreme19 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bull Bias→Buyers→

PCE — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 19 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 19 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

PCE — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 20 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 15 times — 75%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 5 times — 25%

PCE — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 39 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 26 times — 66.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 13 times — 33.3%

PCE — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 42 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 18 times — 42.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 24 times — 57.1%

PCE — Bull Bias — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 33 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 15 times — 45.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 18 times — 54.5%

Current market energy at 22.7%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 37.3 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 1.82 points

PCE — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 25 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 7 times — 28%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 18 times — 72%

PCE — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 32 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 32 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of PCE?

Historically, when PCE was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 45.5% of the time and down to a lower zone 54.5% of the time (across 33 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 22.7%, 37.3 points from the upper bound and 1.82 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 572 candles from 2015-07-27 to 2026-10-15, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing PCE's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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