PCE D: Energy Zone Transition Trends
Candle open
- Study type
- Historical statistics
- Question answered
- Direction of market moves
- Principle
- Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
- Candles studied
- 2,540 PCE D candles
- Period
- 2015-07-24 – 2026-10-16 (11.2 years)
- Result
- 7-zone table below ↓
Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
PCE — Bear Extreme — D
◉ CURRENT CANDLEOccurrences: 114 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 114 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 12.99 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 12.51 points
PCE — Bear Critical — D
Occurrences: 75 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 49 times — 65.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 26 times — 34.7%
PCE — Bear Bias — D
Occurrences: 127 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 65 times — 51.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 62 times — 48.8%
PCE — Neutral — D
Occurrences: 113 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 55 times — 48.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 58 times — 51.3%
PCE — Bull Bias — D
Occurrences: 136 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 73 times — 53.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 63 times — 46.3%
PCE — Bull Critical — D
Occurrences: 105 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 47 times — 44.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 58 times — 55.2%
PCE — Bull Extreme — D
Occurrences: 145 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 145 times — 100%
What is the trend of PCE?
Historically, when PCE was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 114 observations).
Where is the market within its current zone?
The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -87.49%, 12.99 points from the upper bound and 12.51 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.
How are these statistics calculated?
Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.
Where does the data come from and how many candles?
The sample contains 2,540 candles from 2015-07-24 to 2026-10-16, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.
Are these numbers a prediction?
No. These are historical frequencies describing PCE's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.
What are the 7 market energy states?
Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.
See all 7 Market States →To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .