Research

PAT 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,710 PAT 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

PAT — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 250 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 250 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

PAT — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 172 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 97 times — 56.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 75 times — 43.6%

PAT — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 225 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 120 times — 53.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 105 times — 46.7%

PAT — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 211 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 91 times — 43.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 120 times — 56.9%

PAT — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 246 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 95 times — 38.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 151 times — 61.4%

PAT — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 150 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 55 times — 36.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 95 times — 63.3%

PAT — Bull Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 203 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 203 times — 100%

Current market energy at 91.21%
Distance to peak 100%: 8.79 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 16.71 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of PAT?

Historically, when PAT was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 203 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 91.21%, 8.79 points from the upper bound and 16.71 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,710 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing PAT's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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