Research

PAT D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
1,067 PAT D candles
Period
2022-06-20 – 2026-10-22 (4.3 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

PAT — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 47 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 47 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

PAT — Bear Critical — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 60 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 43 times — 71.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 17 times — 28.3%

Current market energy at -61.01%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 1.01 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 13.49 points

PAT — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 82 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 41 times — 50%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 41 times — 50%

PAT — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 71 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 32 times — 45.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 39 times — 54.9%

PAT — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 76 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 29 times — 38.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 47 times — 61.8%

PAT — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 48 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 12 times — 25%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 36 times — 75%

PAT — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 43 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 43 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of PAT?

Historically, when PAT was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 71.7% of the time and down to a lower zone 28.3% of the time (across 60 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -61.01%, 1.01 points from the upper bound and 13.49 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,067 candles from 2022-06-20 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing PAT's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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