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Research

NBP W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
729 NBP W candles
Period
2012-03-26 – 2026-10-05 (14.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme43 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical36 times
↑44.4%
↓55.6%
Bull Bias★★54 times
↑48.1%
↓51.9%
Neutral44 times
↑59.1%
↓40.9%
Bear Bias38 times
↑60.5%
↓39.5%
Bear Critical25 times
↑76%
↓24%
Bear Extreme27 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bull Bias→Buyers→

NBP — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 27 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 27 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

NBP — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 25 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 19 times — 76%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 6 times — 24%

NBP — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 38 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 23 times — 60.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 15 times — 39.5%

NBP — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 44 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 26 times — 59.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 18 times — 40.9%

NBP — Bull Bias — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 54 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 26 times — 48.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 28 times — 51.9%

Current market energy at 59.41%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 0.59 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 38.53 points

NBP — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 36 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 16 times — 44.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 20 times — 55.6%

NBP — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 43 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 43 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of NBP?

Historically, when NBP was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 48.1% of the time and down to a lower zone 51.9% of the time (across 54 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 59.41%, 0.59 points from the upper bound and 38.53 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 729 candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-10-05, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing NBP's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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