Research

NBP D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,156 NBP D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-22 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

NBP — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 123 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 123 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

NBP — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 56 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 35 times — 62.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 21 times — 37.5%

NBP — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 110 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 66 times — 60%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 44 times — 40%

NBP — Neutral — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 107 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 55 times — 51.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 52 times — 48.6%

Current market energy at 18.65%
Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 2.23 points
Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 39.53 points

NBP — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 146 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 75 times — 51.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 71 times — 48.6%

NBP — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 115 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 54 times — 47%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 61 times — 53%

NBP — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 178 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 178 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of NBP?

Historically, when NBP was in the Neutral zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 51.4% of the time and down to a lower zone 48.6% of the time (across 107 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%. The market is at 18.65%, 2.23 points from the upper bound and 39.53 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,156 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing NBP's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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