NAV W — Energy Zone Transition Trends
Updated to candle
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NAV — Bear Extreme — W
Occurrences: 24 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 24 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%
NAV — Bear Critical — W
◉ CURRENT CANDLEOccurrences: 29 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 18 times — 62.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 11 times — 37.9%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 7.6 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 6.9 points
NAV — Bear Bias — W
Occurrences: 55 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 37 times — 67.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 18 times — 32.7%
NAV — Neutral — W
Occurrences: 64 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 32 times — 50%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 32 times — 50%
NAV — Bull Bias — W
Occurrences: 57 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 18 times — 31.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 39 times — 68.4%
NAV — Bull Critical — W
Occurrences: 30 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 7 times — 23.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 23 times — 76.7%
NAV — Bull Extreme — W
Occurrences: 27 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 27 times — 100%
What is the trend of NAV?
Historically, when NAV was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 62.1% of the time and down to a lower zone 37.9% of the time (across 29 observations).
Where is the market within its current zone?
The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -67.6%, 7.6 points from the upper bound and 6.9 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.
How are these statistics calculated?
Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.
Where does the data come from and how many candles?
The sample contains 743 candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-08-17, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.
Are these numbers a prediction?
No. These are historical frequencies describing NAV's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.
What are the 7 market energy states?
Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.
See all 7 Market States →To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .