NAV D: Energy Zone Transition Trends
Candle open
- Study type
- Historical statistics
- Question answered
- Direction of market moves
- Principle
- Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
- Candles studied
- 3,422 NAV D candles
- Period
- 2012-03-21 – 2026-10-23 (14.6 years)
- Result
- 7-zone table below ↓
Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
NAV — Bear Extreme — D
◉ CURRENT CANDLEOccurrences: 160 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 160 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 12.57 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 12.93 points
NAV — Bear Critical — D
Occurrences: 110 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 66 times — 60%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 44 times — 40%
NAV — Bear Bias — D
Occurrences: 173 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 107 times — 61.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 66 times — 38.2%
NAV — Neutral — D
Occurrences: 189 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 107 times — 56.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 82 times — 43.4%
NAV — Bull Bias — D
Occurrences: 203 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 92 times — 45.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 111 times — 54.7%
NAV — Bull Critical — D
Occurrences: 151 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 78 times — 51.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 73 times — 48.3%
NAV — Bull Extreme — D
Occurrences: 224 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 224 times — 100%
What is the trend of NAV?
Historically, when NAV was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 160 observations).
Where is the market within its current zone?
The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -87.07%, 12.57 points from the upper bound and 12.93 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.
How are these statistics calculated?
Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.
Where does the data come from and how many candles?
The sample contains 3,422 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-23, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.
Are these numbers a prediction?
No. These are historical frequencies describing NAV's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.
What are the 7 market energy states?
Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.
See all 7 Market States →To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .