Research

MTP 1H — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 746 candles 1H from 2023-08-04 to 2026-08-28

MTPBear Extreme 1H

Occurrences: 56 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 56 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

MTPBear Critical 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 26 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 17 times 65.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 9 times 34.6%

Current market energy at -67.6%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 7.6 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 6.9 points

MTPBear Bias 1H

Occurrences: 33 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 18 times 54.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 15 times 45.5%

MTPNeutral 1H

Occurrences: 34 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 18 times 52.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 16 times 47.1%

MTPBull Bias 1H

Occurrences: 51 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 25 times 49%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 26 times 51%

MTPBull Critical 1H

Occurrences: 31 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 15 times 48.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 16 times 51.6%

MTPBull Extreme 1H

Occurrences: 53 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 53 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MTP?

Historically, when MTP was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 65.4% of the time and down to a lower zone 34.6% of the time (across 26 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -67.6%, 7.6 points from the upper bound and 6.9 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 746 candles from 2023-08-04 to 2026-08-28, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MTP's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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