Research

MTP D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,050 MTP D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-20 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

MTP — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 97 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 97 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

MTP — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 52 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 29 times — 55.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 23 times — 44.2%

MTP — Bear Bias — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 84 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 42 times — 50%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 42 times — 50%

Current market energy at -34.32%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 13.44 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 25.68 points

MTP — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 75 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 39 times — 52%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 36 times — 48%

MTP — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 67 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 29 times — 43.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 38 times — 56.7%

MTP — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 39 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 17 times — 43.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 22 times — 56.4%

MTP — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 84 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 84 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MTP?

Historically, when MTP was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 50% of the time and down to a lower zone 50% of the time (across 84 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -34.32%, 13.44 points from the upper bound and 25.68 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,050 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-20, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MTP's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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