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Research

MBS W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
544 MBS W candles
Period
2016-04-04 – 2026-10-12 (10.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme31 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical48 times
↑27.1%
↓72.9%
Bull Bias59 times
↑54.2%
↓45.8%
Neutral42 times
↑69%
↓31%
Bear Bias24 times
↑66.7%
↓33.3%
Bear Critical★11 times
↑81.8%
↓18.2%
Bear Extreme★5 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Critical→Sellers→

MBS — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 5 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 5 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

MBS — Bear Critical — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 11 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 9 times — 81.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2 times — 18.2%

Current market energy at -61.27%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 1.27 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 13.23 points

MBS — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 24 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 16 times — 66.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 8 times — 33.3%

MBS — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 42 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 29 times — 69%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 13 times — 31%

MBS — Bull Bias — W

Occurrences: 59 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 32 times — 54.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 27 times — 45.8%

MBS — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 48 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 13 times — 27.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 35 times — 72.9%

MBS — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 31 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 31 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MBS?

Historically, when MBS was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 81.8% of the time and down to a lower zone 18.2% of the time (across 11 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -61.27%, 1.27 points from the upper bound and 13.23 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 544 candles from 2016-04-04 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MBS's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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