Research

MBS W — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 537 candles W from 2016-04-04 to 2026-08-17

MBSBear Extreme W

Occurrences: 4 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 4 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

MBSBear Critical W

Occurrences: 11 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 9 times 81.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2 times 18.2%

MBSBear Bias W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 23 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 16 times 69.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 7 times 30.4%

Current market energy at -29.2%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 8.32 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 30.8 points

MBSNeutral W

Occurrences: 42 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 29 times 69%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 13 times 31%

MBSBull Bias W

Occurrences: 59 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 32 times 54.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 27 times 45.8%

MBSBull Critical W

Occurrences: 48 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 13 times 27.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 35 times 72.9%

MBSBull Extreme W

Occurrences: 31 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 31 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MBS?

Historically, when MBS was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 69.6% of the time and down to a lower zone 30.4% of the time (across 23 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -29.2%, 8.32 points from the upper bound and 30.8 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 537 candles from 2016-04-04 to 2026-08-17, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MBS's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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